RSI-2 Mean Reversion (Large Cap)
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Research · live validation

RSI-2 Mean Reversion (Large Cap)

Buys short-term panic dips in strong large-cap uptrends: RSI(2) oversold while price holds above its 200-day average.
Candidate · Negative seed result / Rework required
Candidate research — not production, not validated, not a recommendation. No real orders are placed. Exact entry, stop and target levels are never published.
As of
2026-08-26
test running since 2026-04-22
Instrument
Cash Equity + MTF simulation
Nifty 100, MTF-eligible Group 1
Setup filter
PER-STOCK >200DMA
trades any market; each stock must be above its own 200-day average
Data freshness
FRESH
392 signals · 0 missed · 0 record errors (30d)
Why is this still a candidate?
The seed result is negative after costs: cash profit factor 0.76, simulated MTF 2.5× profit factor 0.68 with the full interest drag charged and shown. The strategy is not validated, not recommended, and nowhere near its graduation gates. It stays published because honest validation means showing failures as loudly as wins. The test window has also been a falling market — a hostile habitat for a dip-buying strategy — so burn-in continues; any rework will be a new, separately tested version.
What is being tested here?
Buys short-term panic dips in strong large-cap uptrends: RSI(2) oversold while price holds above its 200-day average. Both variants take exactly the same trades — the cash variant with no leverage and the MTF variant simulating 2.5× margin funding, where every rupee of interest and pledge cost is charged and shown.
Variant Cash — unlevered
CASH
STATISTICALLY MEANINGFUL (n = 384)
CAGR
-45.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Sortino Ratio
-0.07
Calmar Ratio
-1.87
Max Drawdown
−24.24R
Win Rate
57.8%
Profit Factor
0.76
Expectancy
-0.047R
Risk-Reward Ratio
0.55×
Recovery Factor
-0.75
Net Result
-18.19R
Closed Trades
384
Net ₹ (after costs)
₹-18,192
Current Drawdown
−23.34R
Max Losing Streak
9
Best Move (avg MFE)
0.35R
Worst Dip (avg MAE)
-0.44R
Profitable Months
20%
Open Positions
8
Variant MTF 2.5x — simulated leverage
SIMULATED MTF 2.5x LEVERAGE
STATISTICALLY MEANINGFUL (n = 384)
CAGR
-57.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Calmar Ratio
-1.91
Max Drawdown
−30.24R
Win Rate
55.5%
Profit Factor
0.68
Expectancy
-0.065R
Risk-Reward Ratio
0.55×
Recovery Factor
-0.82
Net Result
-24.83R
Closed Trades
384
Net ₹ (after costs)
₹-62,079
Current Drawdown
−29.35R
Max Losing Streak
9
Best Move (avg MFE)
0.35R
Worst Dip (avg MAE)
-0.44R
Profitable Months
20%
Open Positions
8
Interest drag (leverage cost):17,004 interest + ₹9,062 pledge charges · 14.9% of gross profit — leverage is never free.
Graduation gates & kill rules
  • Expectancy > 0R after costs
  • At least 200 closed trades
  • Live max drawdown ≤ 1.5× backtest max drawdown
  • Profit factor > 1.3 after full costs
  • MTF variant graduates only after the cash variant passes
  • MTF interest drag < 25% of gross profit
  • Auto-flag to review if drawdown exceeds 1.5× backtest drawdown
A strategy is promoted, paused, or killed only by these objective gates on live paper data — never by tuning after the fact.
Paper trade book
risk ₹1,000/trade · cash-equity paper · exact price levels stay private
Working16Awaiting entry0Profit booked435Stopped out86Timed out22Cancelled0Rule exit (loss)225net paper P&L · all variants · all-time−₹80,271
The counts and net paper P&L above are all-time across both variants combined (768 closed trades). The table shows the 80 most recent of those trades; date/status filters below slice only these visible rows, not the full history.
StockInstrumentStatusSpottedExitedDaysCapital usedProfit / lossResultBest / worst
HALCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-260₹19,4810R / 0R
HALCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-260₹48,7040R / 0R
CIPLACash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-260₹28,0820R / 0R
CIPLACash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-260₹70,2050R / 0R
ENRINCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-260₹13,3170R / 0R
ENRINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-260₹33,2920R / 0R
MOTHERSONCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-260₹21,9660R / 0R
MOTHERSONCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-260₹54,8330R / 0R
NAUKRICash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-260₹18,5470R / 0R
NAUKRICash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-260₹46,3690R / 0R
HALCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-251₹19,6200.145R / -0.174R
HALCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-251₹49,0490.145R / -0.174R
MOTHERSONCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-251₹21,1610.048R / -0.218R
MOTHERSONCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-251₹52,9850.048R / -0.218R
HALCash equity · Long (cash)Working2026-08-242₹19,6440.117R / -0.463R
HALCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Working2026-08-242₹49,1090.117R / -0.463R
MANKINDCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-252026-08-261₹23,674₹171+0.17R0.602R / -0.1R
MANKINDCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-252026-08-261₹59,184₹415+0.17R0.602R / -0.1R
BAJAJHLDNGCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-262₹22,262₹728+0.73R0.968R / -0.758R
BAJAJHLDNGCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-262₹55,656₹1,799+0.72R0.968R / -0.758R
LUPINCash equity · Long (cash)Timed out2026-08-142026-08-2610₹20,135−₹550-0.55R0.276R / -0.759R
LUPINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Timed out2026-08-142026-08-2610₹49,219−₹1,466-0.59R0.276R / -0.759R
SBINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-251₹28,095₹95+0.09R0.208R / -0.258R
SBINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-251₹70,757₹224+0.09R0.208R / -0.258R
TECHMCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-251₹23,784₹122+0.12R0.216R / -0.356R
TECHMCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-242026-08-251₹60,252₹297+0.12R0.216R / -0.356R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-252₹20,460₹329+0.33R0.517R / -0.159R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-252₹51,151₹781+0.31R0.517R / -0.159R
TECHMCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-252₹22,198₹113+0.11R0.21R / -0.346R
TECHMCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-252₹55,495₹236+0.09R0.21R / -0.346R
SBINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-255₹28,324−₹136-0.14R0.153R / -0.481R
SBINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-255₹71,335−₹414-0.17R0.153R / -0.481R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-255₹20,681₹108+0.11R0.266R / -0.532R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-255₹51,702₹218+0.09R0.266R / -0.532R
SBINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹26,241−₹142-0.14R0.128R / -0.465R
SBINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹65,078−₹431-0.17R0.128R / -0.465R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹20,793−₹4+0R0.167R / -0.646R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹51,982−₹73-0.03R0.167R / -0.646R
TECHMCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹20,688₹28+0.03R0.255R / -0.402R
TECHMCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-256₹50,924₹6+0R0.255R / -0.402R
SBINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹25,297−₹242-0.24R0.018R / -0.557R
SBINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹63,243−₹696-0.28R0.018R / -0.557R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹20,901−₹112-0.11R0.043R / -0.738R
INDIGOCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹52,252−₹355-0.14R0.043R / -0.738R
TECHMCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹20,717−₹1+0R0.233R / -0.43R
TECHMCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-257₹50,995−₹76-0.03R0.233R / -0.43R
BAJAJHLDNGCash equity · Long (cash)Stopped out2026-08-182026-08-257₹22,530−₹988-0.99R0.35R / -1.008R
BAJAJHLDNGCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Stopped out2026-08-182026-08-257₹56,326−₹2,551-1.02R0.35R / -1.008R
ENRINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-241₹13,756₹126+0.13R0.372R / -0.034R
ENRINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-212026-08-241₹34,390₹294+0.12R0.372R / -0.034R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-244₹26,278₹29+0.03R0.164R / -0.125R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-244₹65,696₹19+0.01R0.164R / -0.125R
ENRINCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-244₹13,755₹127+0.13R0.352R / -0.112R
ENRINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-244₹34,387₹290+0.12R0.352R / -0.112R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹23,701−₹26-0.03R0.104R / -0.26R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹57,935−₹124-0.05R0.104R / -0.26R
PIDILITINDCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹26,426₹32+0.03R0.248R / -0.222R
PIDILITINDCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹66,066₹13+0.01R0.248R / -0.222R
ABBCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹14,875₹69+0.07R0.332R / -0.114R
ABBCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹37,187₹135+0.05R0.332R / -0.114R
CGPOWERCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹19,870₹232+0.23R0.399R / -0.029R
CGPOWERCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-245₹50,107₹534+0.21R0.399R / -0.029R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-246₹23,679−₹4+0R0.123R / -0.285R
ASIANPAINTCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-246₹57,883−₹83-0.03R0.123R / -0.285R
ABBCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-246₹15,107−₹163-0.16R0.033R / -0.408R
ABBCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-246₹37,768−₹455-0.18R0.033R / -0.408R
SIEMENSCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-211₹19,419₹102+0.1R0.392R / -0.02R
SIEMENSCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-202026-08-211₹46,607₹233+0.09R0.392R / -0.02R
ZYDUSLIFECash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-212₹17,690₹157+0.16R0.296R / -0.1R
ZYDUSLIFECash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-192026-08-212₹44,224₹375+0.15R0.296R / -0.1R
NESTLEINDCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-213₹21,959₹110+0.11R0.325R / -0.227R
NESTLEINDCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-213₹55,630₹245+0.1R0.325R / -0.227R
ZYDUSLIFECash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-213₹16,751−₹21-0.02R0.172R / -0.271R
ZYDUSLIFECash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-182026-08-213₹42,435−₹78-0.03R0.172R / -0.271R
NESTLEINDCash equity · Long (cash)Rule exit2026-08-172026-08-214₹20,601−₹4+0R0.207R / -0.334R
NESTLEINDCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Rule exit2026-08-172026-08-214₹51,501−₹51-0.02R0.207R / -0.334R
LUPINCash equity · Long (cash)Timed out2026-08-132026-08-2110₹20,273−₹537-0.54R0.124R / -0.598R
LUPINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Timed out2026-08-132026-08-2110₹49,556−₹1,395-0.56R0.124R / -0.598R
LUPINCash equity · Long (cash)Timed out2026-08-122026-08-2110₹18,266−₹725-0.73R0R / -0.84R
LUPINCash equity · Long (mtf_2_5x)Timed out2026-08-122026-08-2110₹45,666−₹1,897-0.76R0R / -0.84R
Methodology
Signals are computed on each session's close using only data available at that close (no lookahead) and logged before the next open. Paper fills include adverse slippage; results are net of the full Indian delivery cost stack, and the MTF variant additionally pays daily funding interest and pledge charges. All metrics come from one shared engine used identically by every strategy. Exact price levels stay in the private research database.
An R means one unit of planned risk — a +4R win made four times what the trade risked; −1R lost the planned risk. Ratio metrics show 'Too early' while the sample is below 30 closed trades, because small-sample ratios are noise, not information.
RSI-2 Mean Reversion (Large Cap) — Live Paper Testing Report | DhanVeda · DhanVeda Research