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Research · live validation

Compare strategies

Every strategy and variant gets identical metric treatment — same math, same sample-size badges. Small samples are labelled as noise, not hidden.
Candidates · not production
Not a recommendation. No real orders are placed. Exact entry, stop and target levels are never published. Educational market research only.
StrategyVariantStatusnWin %PFExpectancySharpeNet RMax DDSample
Fear-Regime Demand Accumulation4RBurn-in · Candidate348.8%0.34-0.656R-0.46-22.30R−22.30RProvisional sample (n = 34)
Fear-Regime Demand Accumulation5RBurn-in · Candidate345.9%0.28-0.743R-0.52-25.27R−25.27RProvisional sample (n = 34)
RSI-2 Mean Reversion (Large Cap)cashCandidate · Negative seed result / Rework required56457.1%0.79-0.042R-0.08-23.47R−33.68RStatistically meaningful (n = 564)
RSI-2 Mean Reversion (Large Cap)mtf_2_5xCandidate · Negative seed result / Rework required56455%0.72-0.060R-0.12-33.61R−42.00RStatistically meaningful (n = 564)
D/S Graded Swing Longtrail_after_3pctCandidate · Historical replay · Candidate live-forward tracking42331%2.50+1.162R0.19+491.61R−27.88RStatistically meaningful (n = 423)
D/S Graded Swing Longtarget_3pct_trailCandidate · Historical replay · Candidate live-forward tracking42347.8%1.65+0.402R0.20+169.89R−10.49RStatistically meaningful (n = 423)
Weekly Doji Low-IV Swinglow_ivCandidate · Historical replay · Candidate live-forward tracking55645.1%1.69+0.152R0.19+84.58R−21.30RStatistically meaningful (n = 6363)
Weekly Doji Low-IV SwinguptrendCandidate · Historical replay · Candidate live-forward tracking636345.3%1.61+0.160R0.18+1015.08R−58.72RStatistically meaningful (n = 6363)
No equity-curve overlays are shown until every strategy has at least 30 closed trades — below that the comparison would be noise dressed as insight.
All metrics come from one shared engine. An R is one unit of planned risk. Sharpe/expectancy values on insufficient samples are shown as 'Too early' rather than as misleading numbers.